Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000016 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044
2024-12-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000057
2025-01-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000071
2025-01-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000085
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000101
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000035 0.000060 0.000121
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037 0.000067 0.000149
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000038 0.000073 0.000177
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000040 0.000081 0.000217
2025-02-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000042 0.000091 0.000276
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045 0.000102 0.000349
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000046 0.000111 0.000427
2025-03-16 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000047 0.000120 0.000524
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000023 0.000049 0.000132 0.000675
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000050 0.000146 0.000878
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000051 0.000155 0.001076
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000052 0.000166 0.001357
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000053 0.000180 0.001781
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000055 0.000201 0.002578
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000057 0.000218 0.003539
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000059 0.000244 0.005537
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000063 0.000283 0.010401